Alexey Gromyko “On the strategic thinking.: Analytical papers №30, 2015 (№30)
Alexey Sindeev “Bundeswehr's Syria-Iraq operation.” Analytical papers №29, 2015 (№29)
On 10 December 2015, six Tornado reconnaissance aircrafts of the German Air Force arrived in Turkey to begin a combat mission from the beginning of the next year. The reason for the operation was the terrorist attacks on Paris on November 13, named by the French President F. Hollande's "war". According to the official position, Germany shows solidarity. In this regard, we will try to understand whether we are talking about a conventional military operation or about changes in the foreign and security policy of one of the major European countries.
Alexey Sindeev “Propaganda as a factor of internal and external policy in the age of globalization (German approach).” Analytical papers №28, 2015 (№28)
Democracy, like any political regime, is interested in stable functioning and development, which is impossible without constant work on the formation of public consensus. The governments of most of the EU countries understand that it is necessary to strengthen national policies in this direction and to intensify joint actions of the allied countries. After all, on the one hand, democracy relies on the legitimate decisions of the majority, and for the latter it is necessary to constantly fight, on the other hand, even legitimate decisions taken in one country can have a negative impact on the population of another country, whose politicians, respecting the principle of state sovereignty, can not directly affect the processes of democratic expression of will in the neighboring state, which, among other things, can form in their electorate an idea of the inaction of local elites and lead to the popularity of counter-elites. The coordination of the efforts of the allied states, especially within the framework of the European Union, is also relevant due to the so-called hybrid wars, in which propaganda acts as one of the effective means of achieving success. Propaganda, therefore, is important for so-called domestic consumption (for its own citizens) and as a product for export (for citizens of other states). The experience of Germany, one of the major foreign policy players in Europe, will certainly be interesting.
Elena Ananieva “How not to lose the war, winning a battle?” Analytical papers №27, 2015 (№27)
British Prime Minister David Cameron has sent a letter to the President of the European Council, David Tusk, with proposals on the terms of the country's membership in the EU. The negotiations are entering a crucial stage. Will the parties be able to reach a compromise? Executive editor of the series "Analytical Paper of IE RAS" N. K. Gusev
Elena Ananieva “Britain's EU membership: referendum law passed, public opinion split.” Analytical papers №26, 2015 (№26)
The author analyzes the internal political struggle in the UK around the adoption of the law on the referendum on Britain's membership in the EU, the dynamics of public opinion in the country on the prospects for relations with the European Union. Executive editor of the series "Analytical Papers of IE RAS" N. K. Gusev
Nikolay Kaveshnikov “EU Energy Union as a response to the ‘Russian challenge.’” Analytical papers №25, 2015 (№25)
The paper analyzes the main elements and directions of development of the EU Energy Union. It is noted that most of the goals and even specific measures included in the concept of the Energy Union, in fact, have long been implemented in practice. Indeed, new significant steps are planned only in the field of foreign energy policy (attempts to tighten EU control over bilateral intergovernmental agreements and the idea of creating a "pool of gas buyers"). It is concluded that the EU does not plan to use the Energy Union as a geopolitical weapon against Russia, but the general vector of development of the EU energy policy, fixed in this project, does not favor the interests of Russian energy suppliers, primarily natural gas.
Valery Zhuravel “The Arctic Council: the US Presidency (first results)” Analytical papers №24, 2015 (№24)
The author analyzes the first months of the presidency of the United States of America in the Arctic Council, as well as the sanctions policy of the United States and European countries against Russia in the Arctic direction. The report emphasizes that in the face of many unresolved issues, the United States intend to use its presidency primarily to solve its own internal Arctic problems.
Alexey Sindeev “Maxims of modern German Foreign Policy.” Analytical papers №23, 2015 (№23)
The statement that the world is experiencing a collapse of the former world order and is trying build a new one has become somewhat of an axiom. In this context, central players in the regions (one of which in Europe, without a doubt, is the Federal Republic of Germany) should be paid special attention. The politicians of this country have significant responsibility. At present, twenty-five years after the unification, the emergence of a democratic greater Germany, it will have to show how much it can help and contribute to the creation of a new world order in Europe. It is interesting that over the past two months, much evidence suggests that the strategic planning in the German Foreign Ministry in this direction is quite active. The analysis of the speeches of A. Merkel and F.-V. Steinmeier allows us to draw a number of interesting, in our opinion, conclusions.
Elena Ananieva: “UK Labour Party: principles or power?” Analytical papers №22, 2015 (№22)
A new leader of the Labour Party has been elected. Will the party remain united, what will be its political platform and what are its electoral prospects?
Alexey Sindeev “Germany and foreign policy aspects of the refugee crisis.” Analytical papers №21, 2015 (№21)
Germany has taken in a significant proportion of the refugees who have arrived in Europe in recent months. The parties that are part of the government coalition in Germany are trying to agree on common approaches aimed at increasing control over migration flows. Most analysts focus on the development of a domestic political compromise, thinking about the prospects of a government coalition, individual parties and Angela Merkel. Regarding the latter, a rumor was discussed that she allegedly received an invitation to take up the post of UN Secretary-General. The foreign policy aspects of the crisis provide a special interest for analysis.
Alexey Gromyko “Russia, the USA, Lesser Europe (the EU): competition for leadership in the world of polycentricity.” Analytical papers №20, 2015 (№20)
The paper examines relationships within a triangle “Russia – European Union – United States”. A review of fundamental works on the current world order, Europe and Russia’s stances is provided. The author draws a conclusion about five possible types of relations: from the rapprochement of Russia and the EU (Greater Europe) against the background of the decline of the "American dream" to the drift of everyone from each other.
Alexey Gromyko “The United Kingdom: new political situation.” Analytical papers №19, 2015 (№19)
Kirill Gusev “The European Central Bank and the euro area crisis.” Analytical papers № 18, 2015 (№18)
The author analyzes some aspects of the policy of the European Central Bank in the crisis years and their impact on the economic processes and prospects of the euro area.
Olga Butorina “Peculiaritites of Eurasian model of economic integration.” Analytical papers №17, 2015 (№17).
The goal of regional integration is to create the most comfortable global stratum that allows participants to strengthen the positive and reduce the negative effects of globalization. The initial conditions affect the model and the integration mechanisms in its specific case. The author names four distinctive features of the Eurasian economic integration and points to the experience of other regional associations that is useful for its development.
Yuriy Rubinskiy, Sergey Fedorov, Natalia Supyan “Franco-German tandem in the context of the Ukrainian crisis.” Analytical papers №16, 2015 (№16)
Since the second half of 2014-the beginning of 2015, Berlin and Paris have been converging on issues of joint solution of a number of pressing problems on the European continent, primarily related to the situation around Ukraine. Within the tandem, there is a certain asymmetry, a distribution of roles that takes into account the different interests of its participants and the need to coordinate mutual approaches. These features are also evident in the current difficult search by France and Germany for ways out of the Ukrainian crisis.
Olga Potemkina “Current problems of the European Union's immigration policy.” Analytical papers №15, 2015 (№15)
The increasing number of deaths among migrants trying to make their way from the coast of Libya to the southern EU states in the Mediterranean Sea has caused an outrage all around the world and prompted urgent measures from the European Union. The EU Commission is trying to resolve the crisis by using not only the tools of immigration policy, but also the CFSP. The differences between the Member States do not allow us to find the right solution in a timely manner.
Vladimir Shveytzer “The European Union: from elections to elections.” Analytical papers №14, 2015 (№14)
The author analyzes the state of the electoral process in European politics over the past year after the elections to the European Parliament, which was full of important events both on a country and continent-wide scale, changes in the situation in the global space, outside the clearly defined European Union borders.
Yuriy Rubinskiy “France: two party conventions.” Analytical papers №13, 2015 (№13)
The author analyzes the results of the conventions of the leading opposition party- the center-right Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) - and the ruling Socialist Party, held in France on the eve of the traditional summer holidays.
Dmitriy Danilov “National Security Strategy of Ukraine: potential consequences for Ukrainian-Russian relations.” Analytical papers №12, 2015 (№12)
The paper analyzes the content, political attitudes, priorities and main objectives of the new National Security Strategy of Ukraine, approved on May 26, 2015 in the context of Russian interests. In general, the Strategy is motivated not so much by Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic choice as by its anti-Russian orientation. A peaceful political settlement of the internal Ukrainian conflict is not considered as a necessary element of restoring the destroyed balances in Europe, including Russian-Ukrainian relations. The note provides some suggestions for a possible Russian response to the Ukrainian Strategy and related practical measures.
Natalia Plevako “Sweden model: past and present.” Analytical papers №11, 2015 (№11)
Are the claims of a number of authors about the end of the Swedish model, which for many years attracted the attention of social scientists, politicians and journalists, true? The Swedish model is not only economic and social relations, it is also a special type of culture, behavioral stereotypes, and mentality that has developed historically and cannot disappear in a short time.
Vladislav Belov “Bremen elections: victory for small protest parties.” Analytical papers №10, 2015 (№10)
On 10 May 2015, the last elections to the Landtag of Bremen were held in Germany. Their results are of interest from the point of view of analyzing the main party-political trends in Germany, both at the land and federal levels.
Yuriy Rubinskiy “Political tsunami.” Analytical papers №9, 2015 (№9)
The elections to the French local authorities (departmental councils), held at the end of March 2015, were an important event in the political life of the country. The election campaign went far beyond the issues of local importance and acquired the character of a tough confrontation between the leading political forces of the country. The marked evolution of the French party-political system from a bipolar to a three-party system can be perceived as a main outcome of the last elections. It is obvious that the campaigns will be held in the same vein before the next regional elections in December 2015, and most importantly, the presidential elections in May 2017.
Alexey Gromyko, Valentin Fedorov “How to raise the growth rate.” Analytical papers №8, 2015 (№8)
We do not pretend to have absolute novelty. The suggested proposals are in tune with the ideas of Academician N. P. Shmelev (1936-2014). They are also contained in the reflections and works of Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences E. M. Primakov. A number of Russian economists argue in this direction. We want to draw attention to the economic patterns that will allow the Russian economy to achieve high growth rates and scientific and technological progress on a healthy basis.
Alexey Gromyko, Valentin Fedorov “To ban economic sanctions.” Analytical papers №7, 2015 (№7)
This paper is a general outline of the idea of an international ban on economic sanctions. It could become, if properly discussed, an attention-grabbing new foreign policy initiative of Russia. Such an initiative would have a high chance of meeting a positive response from the general public and strengthening our country's position in the international arena.
Ludmila Babynina “Iceland and the European Union: fish and banks.” Analytical papers №6, 2015 (№6)
The author analyzes the current relationship between the European Union and Iceland, the reasons for applying for the country's accession to the EU and its withdrawal in early 2015.
Kirill Gusev “Foreign investment, the ruble exchange rate and the structural adjustment of the Russian economy.” Analytical papers №5, 2015 (№5)
The author analyzes the impact of the foreign investment outflow on the ruble exchange rate dynamics in the context of crises as one of the manifestations of the vulnerability of the national economy structure that has developed over the years of reforms and suggests steps to improve the economic policy of the Russian state.
Pavel Kandel “Suspicious cardiogram or crisis of confidence? (elections in South-Eastern Europe)” Analytical papers №4, 2015 (№4)
The 2014 elections in some countries of the region revealed new trends: an increase in the protest vote, a request to update the political scene, and attraction to "anti-system", previously marginal populist and / or nationalist forces and leaders. In other states, visible socio-economic problems had little impact on the electoral process. Can we talk about a "crisis of confidence" in the political class?
ВValery Zhuravel “Russian World in Ukraine: problems and prospects.” Analytical papers №3, 2015 (№3)
The problem of the Russian world has sharply worsened in recent years. The violations of rights of our compatriots are on the rise. The space for the Russian language and culture abroad is restricted. In an explicit or hidden form, policies aimed at assimilating or marginalizing of the Russians and Russian-speakers, countering their self-organization and consolidation are being implemented. There is an intensification of attempts on the part of the United States and its allies, a number of international organizations to isolate Russia, to impose sanctions against scientists and cultural figures for their ideological positions, to discredit the political course pursued by our country in the eyes of the general public. Russia's geopolitical rivals are seeking to expand their influence on the Russian-speaking audience, including our compatriots abroad.
Valentin Fedorov “Antirussian sanctions.” Analytical papers №2, 2015 (№2)
The paper examines the current situation in Europe, which has developed in connection with the Ukrainian events and the introduction of anti-Russian sanctions by Western countries. The economic, scientific, technical and other mutual relations built over decades are at risk. Minimal mobilization of political efforts is required in order to cope with the situation, to decrease confrontation and to encourage negotiation.
